We’ve got good news and bad news. The bad news is that if you are hoping for an exciting weekend of edge of your seat football, I seriously doubt you’re gonna get it.
The good news is that you know how the Super Bowl is actually good once every half dozen years or so? Well we’re likely to get a good one, a really good one, and ahead of schedule to boot.
I once again went 2-2 in my game picks last week and had a 1-3 letdown week on over/unders, making me exactly 4-4 in both categories for the playoffs as a whole, so what do I know. I guess that means maybe one of these two games will be good after all, but I’m not betting on it.
Green Bay (+7) @Seattle o/u 46.5 (MGM Mirage)
What did I tell you about Seattle at the beginning of all this.
I wasn’t betting against them unless they gave me a reason, and while last week’s win over Carolina wasn’t quite as dominant as the score might indicate, I just don’t believe in the Packers any more than I don’t believe in the Seahawks.
Let me explain.
Green Bay has two major factors going against it. First, Aaron Rodgers is not 100%, and to beat Seattle in Seattle you better have your league MVP quarterback with every last weapon at his disposal. Second, the Packers’ coaching staff and defense have proven over the last two years that they absolutely cannot defend a mobile quarterback.
Look at what San Francisco, which is slightly less dominant than the Seahawks on defense and not even in the same stadium as the Seahawks on offense, has managed to do to Green Bay in the playoffs. The Packers aren’t ready to make stops against Wilson and friends, and they don’t have enough Aaron Rodgers to overcome it. Give the points, bet the over.
Seattle Seahawks 30 Green Bay Packers 21
Indianapolis (+6.5) @New England o/u 54 (Westgate Superbook)
Don’t be fooled by the Colts.
They beat a Broncos team that had been in decline at the end of the season and with an injured Peyton Manning at the helm.
This matchup last year resulted in the Pats absolutely spanking Indianapolis and I fully expect to see a similar result here.
Moreover, how was New England giving 7 to a Ravens team that gives them fits but only giving 6.5 to a Colts team that doesn’t even register on their radar?
On the over/under, I tend to like the under a bit, but I have no strong feelings either way.
New England Patriots 28 Indianapolis Colts 20
Featured image via Jared Wickerham/Getty